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phmc_16_004.pdf | 933.43 KB | August 5, 2016 - 8:01am |
Failure prognostics can provide benefits in operation and maintenance of equipments by predicting when the component is going to fail and consequently acting at the most appropriate time. In several situations degradation estimations are sparse or missing estimations are present at collected data. Considering these situations, a failure prognostics method was proposed considering the usage of the extended version of the Kalman filter. This method was submitted to analysis considering some hydraulic levels data collected from four different aircrafts. In this study a prognostic model was estimated by the filter and then future values of hydraulic level as well as the remaining useful life interval were obtained considering a set of Monte Carlo simulations and a failure probability distribution approximation. Results evidenced the benefit of this method to properly prognose the system.